Significantly reduces use of fossil fuels farm machines and transport of crops Makes use of abandoned or unused properties No weather related crop failures Offers the possibility of sustainability for urban centers Converts black and gray water to drinking water Adds energy back to the grid via methane generation Creates new urban employment opportunities Reduces the risk of infection from agents transmitted at the agricultural interface Returns farmland to nature, helping to restore ecosystem functions and services Controls vermin by using restaurant waste for methane generation No-cost restoration of ecosystems: The best reason to consider converting most food production to vertical farming is the promise of restoring ecosystem services and functions This belief stems, in part, from numerous anecdotal observations as to the current biological state of some territories that were once severely damaged either by now-extinct civilizations or over-farming, and, in part, from data derived from National Science Foundation-sponsored long-term ecological research program LTERbegun inon a wide variety of fragmented ecosystems purposely set aside subsequent to an extended period of encroachment

Please read that instead. Your friends and colleagues are talking about something called "Bayes' Theorem" or "Bayes' Rule", or something called Bayesian reasoning. They sound really enthusiastic about it, too, so you google and find a webpage about Bayes' Theorem and The page you found gives a definition of it, but it doesn't say what it is, or why it's useful, or why your friends would be interested in it.

It looks like this random statistics thing.

So you came here. Maybe you don't understand what the equation says. Maybe your friends are all wearing Bayes' Theorem T-shirts, and you're feeling left out.

Maybe you're a girl looking for a boyfriend, but the boy you're interested in refuses to date anyone who "isn't Bayesian".

What matters is that Bayes is cool, and if you don't know Bayes, you aren't cool. Why does a mathematical concept generate this strange enthusiasm in its students?

What is the so-called Bayesian Revolution now sweeping through the sciences, which claims to subsume even the experimental method itself as a special case? What is the secret that the adherents of Bayes know?

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What is the light that they have seen? Soon you will know. Soon you will be one of us.

While there are a few existing online explanations of Bayes' Theorem, my experience with trying to introduce people to Bayesian reasoning is that the existing online explanations are too abstract. Bayesian reasoning is very counterintuitive. People do not employ Bayesian reasoning intuitively, find it very difficult to learn Bayesian reasoning when tutored, and rapidly forget Bayesian methods once the tutoring is over.

This holds equally true for novice students and highly trained professionals in a field. Bayesian reasoning is apparently one of those things which, like quantum mechanics or the Wason Selection Test, is inherently difficult for humans to grasp with our built-in mental faculties.

Or so they claim. Here you will find an attempt to offer an intuitive explanation of Bayesian reasoning - an excruciatingly gentle introduction that invokes all the human ways of grasping numbers, from natural frequencies to spatial visualization.

The intent is to convey, not abstract rules for manipulating numbers, but what the numbers mean, and why the rules are what they are and cannot possibly be anything else.

When you are finished reading this page, you will see Bayesian problems in your dreams. Here's a story problem about a situation that doctors often encounter: A woman in this age group had a positive mammography in a routine screening.

What is the probability that she actually has breast cancer? What do you think the answer is? If you haven't encountered this kind of problem before, please take a moment to come up with your own answer before continuing. Is that a real number, or an urban legend based on an Internet poll?

It's a surprising result which is easy to replicate, so it's been extensively replicated. Do you want to think about your answer again? Here's a Javascript calculator if you need one. This calculator has the usual precedence rules; multiplication before addition and so on.An Intuitive Explanation of Bayes' Theorem.

Bayes' Theorem for the curious and bewildered; an excruciatingly gentle introduction. Paul Kingsnorth is a writer and poet living in Cumbria, England.

He is the author of several books, including the poetry collection Kidland and his fictional debut The Wake, winner of the Gordon Burn Prize and the Bookseller Book of the Year Award.

Kingsnorth is the cofounder and director of the Dark Mountain Project, a network of writers, artists, and thinkers. Energy conservation is a very important part of energy planning and its management. It not only saves energy resources for future, avoids wasteful utilisation of energy, provides solution to energy crisis and ensures higher per capita availability/ consumption but controls environmental degradation and pollution.

The Flagship Institution of the University System of Maryland. College Park, MD , USA · Introduction Though perhaps best known throughout the world for his science fiction, Isaac Asimov was also regarded as one of the great explainers of science.

Dualism and Mind. Dualists in the philosophy of mind emphasize the radical difference between mind and matter. They all deny that the mind is the same as the brain, and some deny that the mind is wholly a product of the brain.

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